Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.646998 1.918857 2.201358 2.515275 2.852853 3.203589 3.594190
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.185691 1.556435 1.965473 2.443495 2.980613 3.560012 4.227009
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.940692 1.354069 1.830794 2.407543 3.074225 3.810129 4.673932
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.787858 1.235967 1.773748 2.443777 3.236311 4.127043 5.188156
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.658809 1.126335 1.709407 2.455689 3.356490 4.384622 5.624631
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.533061 1.003579 1.615260 2.420065 3.411156 4.559212 5.960040
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.489501 0.985785 1.649327 2.538084 3.646387 4.941932 6.533841
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.454771 0.975396 1.689508 2.661148 3.885985 5.328824 7.112167
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.429666 0.975487 1.741220 2.797196 4.140483 5.732981 7.710812
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.413761 0.987124 1.807112 2.950617 4.416096 6.162450 8.339778
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.379470 0.965500 1.824301 3.038592 4.608910 6.491857 8.850360
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.330919 0.914552 1.796268 3.063926 4.720885 6.722197 9.242410
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.255202 0.810122 1.690385 2.988670 4.712924 6.817776 9.488978
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.190721 0.713058 1.587835 2.912994 4.701610 6.908210 9.729849
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.145163 0.640986 1.515392 2.872149 4.729327 7.041234 10.016461
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.120670 0.608201 1.501912 2.912535 4.862390 7.304675 10.461307
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.095548 0.567023 1.471125 2.925545 4.957417 7.519345 10.845907
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.067857 0.508990 1.406926 2.886277 4.979988 7.641018 11.115296
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.063925 0.517331 1.457179 3.016413 5.231425 8.053009 11.742624
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.060879 0.527690 1.510885 3.151871 5.490470 8.475241 12.383395
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.059505 0.543120 1.573714 3.301320 5.769024 8.922939 13.056463
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.060104 0.565189 1.648718 3.469514 6.073679 9.404579 13.772359
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.053621 0.561378 1.676320 3.565806 6.280165 9.761207 14.334067